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Vuelta a España 2013: Stage 20

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Stage 20 of the Vuelta a España, 142.2 kilometres from Avilés to the Alto de l’Angliru.

After over 3,000 kilometres just three seconds separate the top two overall at the 2013 Vuelta a España and it looks set to come down to a tense shoot-out on the slopes of the mighty Angliru between Chris Horner (RadioShack-Leopard) and Vincenzo Nibali (Astana).

Alejandro Valverde (3rd at 1:06) and Joaquim Rodriguez (4th at 1:57) may yet hold out the faintest of hopes of springing an upset, but if the evidence of the past week is any sort of guide, the margins should again be tight among the top contenders.

Today's stage features four categorised climbs, but the category 3 Alto de la Cabruñana, the category 2 Alto Tenebredo and the category 1 Alto del Cordal seem little more than warm-up acts ahead of the main attraction, the fearsome Angliru. With an average gradient of 10.2% and slopes of up to 23.5%, the 12-kilometre ascent kick-started the cycling's current fascination with extreme summit finishes when it was introduced in 1999. A novelty back then, the Angliru has spawned many imitations, but its finale remains the most daunting of all. Don't take my word for it - Alasdair Fotheringham was one of the first jounrnalists to go and see the new climb when he followed Fernando Escartin up there in the winter of 1998, and you can read his Angliru preview here.

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Astana's decision to commit climbers of the calibre of Fuglsang and Tiralongo forward at this early stage suggests that Nibali might be tempted to make a move before the Angliru, although he downplayed that possibility last night, insisting that an attack on the descent of the Cordal was unlikely, particularly on dry roads.

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The 41-year-old Chris Horner’s performances at this Vuelta a España have raised more than a few eyebrows, all the more so given the injury problems that severely limited his diet of racing in the first half of this season.

Speaking of saying irresponsible things, Horner's past statements have certainly not helped his case. For instance, this is what he had to say on the Lance Armstrong case as recently as last December:

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Victory on the Naranco yesterday has given Joaquim Rodriguez (Katusha) hope that he can climb onto the podium - or perhaps even into the red jersey - on the Angliru today.  "If cycling was just ‘two plus two equals four’ then Horner would win and we might as well all go home now,” Rodriguez

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Before the stage, Dario Cataldo (Sky) was pessimistic about the chances of a break succeeding. "I’m afraid this stage is too short for a breakaway to succeed. I believe RadioShack wants to keep the race together and Katusha will ride the same way as yesterday,” he said. It's certainly been brisk so far (41.8kph at the midway point) but the break's lead remains close to six minutes.

Approaching the day's second climb, the category 2 Alto de Tenebredo, the five leaders have 30 seconds in hand on the rest of the break and six minutes over the main peloton.

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Kiryienka, Arroyo, Grivko and Edet are tapping out a decent rhythm on this climb and their efforts are considerably more concerted than those of the bloated group behind. Their lead is up to 1:15 over the chasers, with the peloton still more than six minutes back.

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Vincenzo Nibali's much hoped-for rainfall does not look likely to materialise, by the way. The word from the top of the Angliru is that conditions are currently dry and clear. Nibali told Gazzetta dello Sport yesterday that he was hoping for rain because the resultant slippery roads would force Horner to climb in the saddle like everyone else on the steepest slopes of the Angliru.

Speaking of Nibali and the rain, noted amateur weather forecasting enthusiast (I am honestly not making that up) Domenico Pozzovivo reckons that the weather has not been on Nibali's side at this Vuelta.  "He’s also not as strong as he was in the Giro where he found the conditions he loves for racing," said Pozzovivo, who harbours ambitions of following in Gilberto Simoni's wheeltracks as the second Italian to triumph atop the Angliru.

In years gone by, of course, low cloud and steady rain has added another dimension to the hellish upper reaches of the Angliru. For a retrospective gallery of the Angliru, dating back to the 1999 victory of the late and greatly missed Jose Maria Jimenez, click here.

Nicolas Edet led Kiryienka and Arroyo over the top of the Tenebredo, by the way, with Nibali's delegate Grivko crossing the summit with them. The four leaders are continuing to collaborate smoothly together on the way down.

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The peloton is 5:35 down on the break as they churn along towards the base of the day's penultimate climb, the Cordal. Red jersey Chris Horner is sitting comfortably towards the front of the bunch on this long, false flat.

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Meanwhile, Salvatore Puccio (Sky), who wore pink early on at the Giro d'Italia, has abandoned the Vuelta.

Euskaltel-Euskadi have grabbed a hold of affairs at the front of the peloton as they look to defend their lead in the teams classification. The presence of two Movistar riders in the break has prompted them to take action.

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That said, tactical finesse counts for precious little when the gradient stiffens to 23.5%, and the sense is that this will ultimately turn into a slugging match between Horner and Nibali.

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Indeed, Horner has just drifted off the front of the main peloton, almost by accident. He didn't even seem to realise that Nibali, Valverde et al were no longer on his wheel, but slows down as soon as he realises.

The pace and the gradient are beginning to take its toll on the main peloton, which is strung out in one long line, but the overall contenders are all present and correct near the front as Katusha set the tempo.

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Horner is sitting in fourth wheel in the main peloton, on the wheel of teammate Robert Kiserlovski. The pace is brisk in the red jersey group, but thus far, all of the main contenders appear to be untroubled.

Dark clouds are looming over the Cordal but as yet, there has been no rain. If some drops begin to fall, we can doubtless expect Nibali to move up from his current position of 10th in line in the diminishing red jersey group.

Elissonde and Tiralongo are putting in a fine effort up front and they've done well to maintain a lead of 5:23 over the bunch as they grind up the 12% slopes near the top of the Cordal.

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Horner appears very comfortable near the front of the red jersey group as the gradient stiffens, while Nicolas Roche (Saxo-Tinkoff) is betraying signs of suffering.

After Katusha's Caruso swings over, RadioShack's pairing of Kiserlovski and Haimar Zubeldia take up the pace-making in support of Horner.

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Wisely, Thibaut Pinot (FDJ) attacks over the top of the Cordal. As a nervous descender, the Frenchman is well aware that he needs a head start on a downhill as technical as this one. The red jersey group reaches the summit of the Cordal a shade over five minutes down on Tiralongo and Elissonde.

Vincenzo Nibali leads the red jersey group on the way down the Cordal, but the intention seems to be to stay out of trouble rather than to put Horner in difficulty.

Samuel Sanchez takes over at the front next, and opens a small gap as he glides through the succession of bends.

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The descent of the Cordal has wreaked havoc in the red jersey group. There are fewer than ten riders around Horner as they begin the ascent. Nibali and Kangert are up there, as well as Rodriguez, Sanchez, Valverde and Roche.

The red jersey group swells again as the climb begins in earnest. Valverde has a clutch of Movistar teammates setting the tempo in a group that is now around 20 riders strong.

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Rodriguez will have to go from distance if he wants to win the stage and haul his way onto the podium, hence Moreno's stiff pace-setting, which is whittling down the red jersey group.

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Moreno's fierce pace-making is chipping chunks off the two leaders' advantage and he is also performing something of a cull in the red jersey group, which is down to 15 riders.

Kangert has been shed from the red jersey group, which still includes Nibali, Horner, Valverde, Rodriguez, Pozzovivo, Pinot and Roche, amongst others.

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8km to go for the red jersey group, which has been reduced to just ten riders as dark clouds gather overhead. They are just 2:50 down on Tiralongo and Elissonde.

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Moreno leads the red jersey group onto the first steep section of the Angliru. The contenders brace themsleves for the first serious move.

Nibali accelerates and opens a small gap over the red jersey group. He is picking his way through the remnants of the early break, and so far there has been no response from the red jersey group.

This is a brave move from Nibali, who has almost seven kilometres of climbing ahead of him. He has a gap of 9 seconds over the Horner group, while Nicolas Roche has been distanced.

Horner leads the chase of Nibali, dragging Valverde and Rodriguez with him. Nibali is ten seconds ahead of this trio.

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A seated Nibali grinds his way up a 21% slope, maintaining his ten second gap over Horner, Valverde and Rodriguez.

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Valverde has been dropped by Horner and Rodriguez, who are grinding their way slowly back up to Nibali. The Sicilian has seven seconds in hand on Horner with over 5 kilometres still to come.

It's a game of inches on the upper slopes of the Angliru and Horner is clawing his way back up to Nibali. He and Rodriguez are almost within touching distance of the Astana man.

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Horner and Rodriguez catch back up to Nibali. They have 16 seconds in hand on Valverde.

It's all about the Nibali-Horner duel now. Horner puts in a searing acceleration but Nibali quickly responds with a dig of his own. It's level on points so far.

Horner, Nibali and Rodriguez have caught up to Tiralongo and they are 1:53 down on Elissonde.

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Tiralongo grinds on the front of the red jersey group as they enter the final four kilkometres. Valverde has fought his way back up to them, while Horner appears utterly untroubled by the tempo. Astana have all the cards but do they have the wherewithal to play them?

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Nibali launches his second telling attack, but he can't open a gap on Horner. Rodriguez and Valverde are also able to follow, albeit at a distance of five metres.

We don't know how many riders from the earlier break are between Elissonde and Nibali, but they are still picking some off. Nibali and Horner don't know if there will be bonus seconds on offer by the time they reach the summit.

Nibali puts in another fierce dig on a 17% slope with 3 kilometres to go. Horner is slower to repond each time, but latches back on. Can Nibali break him?

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Huge crowds are spilling across the road, and Horner and Nibali barely have space to land a blow up here.

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Visibility is severly reduced near the summit as the TV cameras lose track of Nibali and Horner. Valverde has dropped Rodriguez in the battle for 3rd place, but the battle royale is between Horner and Nibali.

Horner leads Nibali through the 2km to go banner and into another realm. They can barely see five yards in front of them at this point, and all Nibali can do is focus on Horner's rear wheel in front of him.

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Horner's lead over Nibali is out to 17 seconds as he dances up a 21% gradient and moves past the last survivors of the chasing group.

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Horner cruises through the red kite one minute down on Elissonde but 20 seconds up on Nibali. The 41-year-old is about to seal the most improbable of Vuelta victories.

Elissonde is on the final downhill section to the line. He can sense the finish but can't see it because of the thick, thick fog.

Kenny Elissonde (FDJ) wins on the Angliru. Chris Horner takes second place 26 seconds down and he has sealed the Vuelta a Espana.

Nibali was caught by Valverde and Rodriguez in the finale. They cross the line 54 seconds down, with Valverde taking the sprint for third.

It's hard to believe what we've just seen. Chris Horner has dropped Vincenzo Nibali on the Angliru to win the Vuelta a Espana at the age of 41.

Horner lies on the tarmac after crossing the line, and is then helped towards a tent near the podium area by a soigneur and press officer Philippe Maertens. Nibali will finish second overall, while Alejandro Valverde will claim the third step on the podium.

Nicolas Roche will hold on to 5th place overall, ahead of Domenico Pozzovivo, while Thibaut Pinot will ride into Madrid in 7th overall.

“I didn’t have very, very good legs when I got in the break and it was very difficult. The Angliru is a mythical climb and this is unbelievable to win. I was just here to work for Thibaut Pinot,” says the stage winner Kenny Elissonde. “We have a very young team and there is a very good atmosphere in the team. We tried to do something like this and it’s a dream come true.”

Result:

Thanks for following our live coverage on Cyclingnews today. We'll be back with more from Sunday's final stage to Madrid but in the meantime you will be able to read a full report here, and we'll have all the reaction to Chris Horner's surprise Vuelta win.

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