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Liege-Bastogne-Liege 2018

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Valverde versus Alaphilippe round two? Wednesday's Fleche Wallonne showed that El Imbatido can indeed be defeated in the Ardennes, though Alejandro Valverde (Movistar) remains the favourite to equal Eddy Merckx's haul of five Liege-Bastogne-Liege victories this afternoon. By dint of track record and his victory on the Mur de Huy, Julian Alaphilippe (Quick-Step Floors) seems the man most likely to deny him in Ans, though, as ever, there are contenders aplenty for La Doyenne, including Vincenzo Nibali (Bahrain-Merida), Michael Matthews (Sunweb) and Michal Kwiatkowski (Team Sky).

The peloton is rolling through the neutralised zone ahead of what might - at least if reports in the Walloon press are correct - prove to be the final edition of Liege-Bastogne-Liege that finishes atop the Cote de Ans. There is talk of a return to a flat, city-centre finish from next year, though nothing has been confirmed as yet. 

There are 11 classified climbs on the parcours this afternoon, as well as that final drag to the line at Ans. The Côte de Bonnerue is the first ascent after 72km. The duo of the Col du Rosier and Col du Maquisard either side of the 200km mark signals the beginning of the endgame. The Cote de la Redoute comes 35km from the finish, followed by the Cote de la Roche-aux-Faucons with a shade under 20km remaining. The summit of the wickedly steep Cote de Saint-Nicolas is 5.5km from the line, and there is precious little respite before that kick up to the finish in Ans.

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Tom Dumoulin (Sunweb) is in the peloton today for his first race since Milan-San Remo in March and his last race before the Giro d'Italia next month. The Dutchman endured an ill-starred early season, but has been training in Sierra Nevada in recent weeks and arrived in the Ardennes aiming to test himself before the corsa rosa. “Here Michael Matthews is our leader and he’s a sort of climber/sprinter type of guy who should wait until really long into the race to make his move or go for the sprint,” Dumoulin said. “And you have someone like me who’s a kind of bonus – if I have the legs.” Alasdair Fotheringham has the full story here.

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Vincenzo Nibali (Bahrain-Merida) lines out for La Doyenne safe in the knowledge that his Spring campaign has already been an unqualified success after his solo victory at Milan-San Remo five weeks ago. The Italian went all in at the Tour of Flanders and again at Fleche Wallonne, but will he race with similar abandon today, or will he ride more conservatively in what is the Classics he perhaps covets above all others. Nibali has history with this race: he was dead last on his debut in 2005, and then second in 2012 after being caught and passed by Maxim Iglinskiy on the haul towards Ans. “Liège is a tough race, a tremendously hard one," Nibali said. "I like it, because like in Lombardia, when you reach the finish, you know you’ve given everything." Alasdair Fotheringham has more here.

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It's interesting to see UAE-Team Emirates so active at the head of the peloton thus far, suggesting that their confidence in Dan Martin remains despite his low-key showing at Fleche Wallonne on Wednesday. Indeed, there was some mitigation for the Irishman in midweek, as he was caught behind a crash before the second time up the Mur de Huy. Although he made it back on, he paid for his efforts and was caught behind as the race broke up definitively near the summit. 

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The second edition of Liege-Bastogne-Liege Femmes is also taking place today and after winning Fleche Wallonne in midweek, Anna van der Breggen will take stopping this afternoon. Kirsten Frattini previews the action here.

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An outsider for victory today is Romain Bardet (AG2R La Mondiale), who was 6th in 2015 and 2017 and has never placed lower than 13th in Ans. The Frenchman, 9th at Fleche Wallonne on Wednesday, knows that he lacks the punch to outsprint Valverde or Alaphilippe in the finale at Ans, and will have to be inventive if he is to prevail. "With the good weather, there is a risk there'll be more riders at the foot of the last climbs, so you'll need to be sharper tactically," Bardet told L'Equipe. "I already have placings at this race and another won't bring me anything. But I'm not here just to provide a spectacle either."

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"My role will be to cover the semi-dangerous moves, from about 80 kilometres to 40 kilometres to go, make sure that Roman has easy a ride as possible until the last two kilometres,” Haig continued. As for his ride in Fleche Wallonne, where he was the second last rider from the break to be reeled in, Haig says there was one point when he thought it might go all the way. “There was a point when we got to the bottom of the penultimate climb when I thought, ‘maybe this is possible. But the peloton is good at timing things, eh?”

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Despite being in the thick of the action prior to the final ascent of the Mur de Huy on Wednesday, Michel Kwiatkowski (Team Sky) is not feeling massively optimistic about his chances this time round. The Pole has twice placed third at Liege-Bastogne-Liege, in 2014 and 2017. “I’m feeling ok, I could be happier with the results in Amstel and Fleche," Kwiatkowski said. "I’m missing that spark which allows you to go for the win. But sometimes it’s not such a big gap and we’ll see what happens.”

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Bauke Mollema (Trek-Segafredo) notched up a handy 6th place on Wednedsay’s Fleche Wallonne and is looking for another solid result in today’s race. “It's a hard race, but a nice one. I expect a similar kind of scenario with some long-distance attacks, rather than waiting for the final. Plus they are expecting some rains showers this afternoon so I think that could make it even more difficult,” Mollema said. This could be the last time the race finishes in Ans, but Mollema is one of the few riders who says he will miss the finale if the race goes back, as is expected, to the centre of Liege. “It's not the nicest part of town in Ans, but I like the uphill sprint. And it's a lot tougher than it looks on television!”

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Today marks the first anniversary of Michele Scarponi's tragic death, and Vincenzo Nibali recalled his old teammate in an interview in this morning's edition of La Gazzetta dello Sport. “In the last few days, with the Tour of the Alps [where Scarponi won his final race last year – ed.] I thought even more about Michele,” Nibali said. “Sometimes, it seems like I can still hear him in the peloton. I miss his laugh and I miss his advice.”

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