Home riders among favourites in open GC field – Analysing the Tour Down Under contenders

WILLUNGA HILL, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 25: Jhonatan Narvaez of Ecuador and UAE Team Emirates Xrg celebrates at podium as Orange Santos Leader's Jersey winner during the 25th Santos Tour Down Under 2025, Stage 5 a 145.7km stage from McLaren Vale to Willunga Hill 371m / #UCIWT / on January 25, 2025 in Willunga Hill, Australia. (Photo by Dario Belingheri/Getty Images)
Reigning champion Jhonatan Narváez is a big favourite to defend his title (Image credit: Getty Images)

Hot on the heels of the women's race, the men's Tour Down Under gets underway on Tuesday, opening with a 3.6km prologue around Adelaide, and culminating with a punch day around Stirling next Sunday.

Kicking off the WorldTour calendar for 2026, the South Australian race features the full complement of 18 WorldTour teams, plus one ProTeam in Tudor Pro Cycling, and an Australian national team selection.

Among the riders taking on the 759km across six stages are two former overall winners, including the reigning champion Jhonatan Narváez (UAE Team Emirates-XRG) and four former stage winners who boast 10 stage victories between them, though sprinter Sam Welsford (Ineos Grenadiers) is responsible for six of those.

Jay Vine and Jhonatan Narvaez (UAE Team Emirates-XRG)

MOUNT LOFTY, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 22: Jay Vine of Australia and UAE Team Emirates celebrates at podium as Orange Leader Jersey during the 23rd Santos Tour Down Under 2023 - Stage 5 a 112,5km stage from Unley to Mount Lofty 727m / #TourDownUnder / #WorldTour / on January 22, 2023 in Mount Lofty, Australia. (Photo by Tim de Waele/Getty Images)

Vine is a former winner of the Tour Down Under (Image credit: Getty Images)

UAE Team Emirates-XRG come to the Tour Down Under with undoubtedly the strongest squad, fielding both the 2025 winner in Narváez and 2023 victor Jay Vine.

A punchy all-rounder, Ecuador's Narváez is a rider whose abilities are made for the Tour Down Under, and his choice to return means he's almost certainly going to try to defend his title and the route – which isn't drastically different to the one he won on last year – will suit him well.

The only difference is the opening TT, but being so short, that shouldn't be a hurdle to a powerful rider like Narváez, and his ability to mix in both the sprints and climbs stands him in good stead.

The question will be how UAE manage their ambitions with the 2023 winner and home favourite Jay Vine in the team as well. Vine will debut his newly-reclaimed national champion's skinsuit in the TT on Tuesday, and is a dangerous rider on the hilly stages. Plus, he obviously knows how to win this race. The last time he won, the race also started with a prologue.

Ben O'Connor and Luke Plapp (Jayco AlUla)

ADELAIDE, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 16: A general view of Ben O'Connor of Australia, Luke Durbridge of Australia, Rudy Porter of Australia, Hamish McKenzie of Australia, Kelland O'Brien of Australia, Luke Plapp of Australia, Mauro Schmid of Switzerland and Ruby Roseman-Gannon of Australia, Ella Wyllie of New Zealand, Georgia Baker of Australia, Mackenzie Coupland of Australia, Amber Pate of Australia, Josie Talbot of Australia and Team Liv AlUla Jayco during the 26th Santos Tour Down Under 2026, Team Presentation on January 16, 2026 in Adelaide, Australia. (Photo by Con Chronis/Getty Images)

Jayco come to their home race with options (Image credit: Getty Images)

As they tend to do, Jayco AlUla are coming to their home race with a line-up worthy of the biggest European stage races, and presumably growing motivation to take a GC win – something they haven't done at the TDU since 2019 with Daryl Impey.

The headline name to try to rectify that is Ben O'Connor, who has opted to race the Australian summer and returns as a Tour de France stage winner. A climber of his calibre should be able to take on Willunga Hill and Corkscrew Road with ease, but being a pure climber isn't always the recipe for success at TDU. To win, O'Connor will have to climb well but also manage the punchier stages, too.

Like UAE, however, Jayco come to this race with options, not least Luke Plapp, who has been trying to win this race for years on end, and will likely be fired up after his runner-up spot at the National Championships in Perth. They can also look to Mauro Schmid as an option, the one non-Australian in the line-up, who won the Cadel Evans Great Ocean Road Race in 2025.

Finn Fisher-Black (Red Bull-Bora-Hansgrohe)

The 2026 line-up has a lot of returnees from the protagonists of 2025, and Finn Fisher-Black is one of those, coming back after taking third last January. A good climber and budding GC rider, the New Zealand rider is slowly building his stage racing pedigree, and races like the Tour Down Under are the perfect training ground for that, particularly as Australia is about as close to home as it gets for the Kiwi. Fisher-Black can use his punch on the harder days, and then has a strong team around him for the flatter ones.

Compatriot Laurence Pithie can also hope for some good results in Australia, particularly as he tries to build up for the Classics.

Javier Romo (Movistar)

Movistar Team rider Javier Romo Oliver from Spain reacts as he wins the men's stage 3 of the Tour Down Under cycling race in Adelaide on January 23, 2025. (Photo by Brenton Edwards / AFP) / -- IMAGE RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE - STRICTLY NO COMMERCIAL USE --

Romo won a stage last year (Image credit: Getty Images)

The third returning podium finisher from 2025 is Javier Romo, who was runner-up behind Narvaez last year after winning the third stage and spending two days in the lead, only ceding the top spot to Narváez on the final day on Willunga Hill.

With that experience under his belt, Romo will no doubt be returning with ambitions of righting that wrong and upgrading second to first, over climbs he will have been familiarised with last year.

Lennert Van Eetvelt (Lotto-Intermarché)

Lennert Van Eetvelt was touted as a stage racing future star in 2024, but had a quieter 2025, so it will be interesting to see how he kicks off 2026 with his newly-merged and newly-WorldTour Lotto-Intermarché team – this will be their very first appearance in a race.

Van Eetvelt won the UAE Tour and Tour of Guangxi in 2024, so has a penchant for these non-European, sprint friendly stage races, and seems like a good under-the-radar pick for the ochre jersey or a spot on the podium. Motivation will be high at Lotto-Intermarche and he seems the obvious way to chase down a result.

Corbin Strong (NSN Cycling Team)

ADELAIDE, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 16: A general view of Simon Clarke of Australia, Brady Gilmore of Australia, Nick Schultz of Australia, Jake Stewart of Great Britain, Corbin Strong of New Zealand, Ethan Vernon of Great Britain and NSN Cycling Team during the 26th Santos Tour Down Under 2026, Team Presentation on January 16, 2026 in Adelaide, Australia. (Photo by Con Chronis/Getty Images)

NSN Cycling Team's line-up for the men's Tour Down Under (Image credit: Getty Images)

Corbin Strong is a rider very much of a similar pedigree to Narváez: a fast sprinter who is surprisingly handy in the hills, too. NSN Cycling, in their previous guise as Israel-Premier Tech, have done well at this race before, winning with Stevie Williams in 2024, and having two-time winner Daryl Impey in the car will be no disadvantage, either.

NSN have named their goal as stage wins with Ethan Vernon in the sprints and Strong on the harder days, but there's nothing to say that some good results – or that desired individual win – couldn't translate into a good GC ride for Strong, too. He won the Tour de Wallonie and Arctic Race of Norway last summer, so definitely fits the bill of an all-rounder who can put together a GC win.

Chris Harper (Australia)

With only one ProTeam racing and no Continental teams permitted to race WorldTour events, the national team had some very good riders to choose from for the Australian selection at this year's race. With Pinarello-Q36.5 not in attendance, both Chris Harper and Damien Howson will line up in the national jersey, and both could get a strong GC result, though Harper looks like the stronger option.

Harper is a solid stage racer back in Europe, and won the Queen stage of the Giro in 2025, so after departing Jayco this winter, he'll want to get his year off to a strong start for his new team. An Adelaide native, this is as local as it gets for Harper, and whilst he's sometimes got lost in a crowded Jayco team at this race, he should stand out as a leader in the Australian squad.

Keep an eye on new national Patrick Eddy for some good stage results, too, plus his trade teammate Oliver Bleddyn who was key to Eddy's win in Perth last weekend.

Santiago Buitrago (Bahrain Victorious)

BOLA DEL MUNDO - PUERTO DE NAVACERRADA, SPAIN - SEPTEMBER 13: competes during the La Vuelta - 80th Tour of Spain 2025, Stage 20 a 164.8km stage from Robledo de Chavela to Bola del Mundo. Puerto de Navacerrada 2253m / #UCIWT / on September 13, 2025 in Bola del Mundo. Puerto de Navacerrada, Spain. (Photo by Tim de Waele/Getty Images)

Santiago Buitrago at the Vuelta (Image credit: Getty Images)

Santiago Buitrago is a solid climber and stage racer who will lead a quite young Bahrain Victorious team in Australia. The 26-year-old starts 2026 off the back of 15th overall at the Vuelta a España, and is certainly one of the strongest climbers in the race, so his race will be about finding that punch to make the difference on the harder stages.

He's only taken one GC victory in his career, at last year's Volta a la Comunitat Valenciana, and he is a rider who often does well in the early races, so will definitely be someone to keep an eye on.

Nicolas Prodhomme (Decathlon CMA CGM)

Twenty-eight-year-old Nicolas Prodhomme started 2025 having never won a race as a professional, and ended it with five wins and a GC victory under his belt, after a stage at the Tour of Alps seemingly opened the floodgates.

A climbing breakaway specialist, Prodhomme is perfect for the in-between climbing days that characterise the Tour Down Under, and he'll certainly be hoping that his 2025 winning streak can continue into the new year. His overall win at the La Route d'Occitanie shows he can do well in shorter stage races. This year marks the start of a new chapter for the budget-boosted Decathlon CMA CGM team, so kicking it off with a podium or win will surely be high on their priority list.

Sam Oomen and Patrick Konrad (Lidl-Trek)

Lidl-Trek start in Adelaide slightly rudderless, or at least without a clear leader, and no serious bunch sprinter. Their race will probably be riders going for individual opportunities, and warming the legs before the bigger goals down the line.

Their best GC hopes probably come from Sam Oomen, who has been quite quiet since joining Lidl-Trek in 2024, or Patrick Konrad, who finished in the top 10 here last year, and is a solid climber who should take these opportunities when they arise, before he returns to domestique duty.

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Assistant Features Editor

Matilda is an NCTJ-qualified journalist based in the UK who joined Cyclingnews in March 2025. Prior to that, she worked as the Racing News Editor at GCN, and extensively as a freelancer contributing to Cyclingnews, Cycling Weekly, Velo, Rouleur, Escape Collective, Red Bull and more. She has reported from many of the biggest events on the calendar, including the Giro d'Italia, Tour de France Femmes, Tour of Flanders and Paris-Roubaix. She has particular experience and expertise in women's cycling, and women's sport in general. She is a graduate of modern languages and sports journalism.


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